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FNWB

First Northwest BancorpD
Nasdaq / Banks
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Sustained NIM expansion, controlled credit costs, modest loan growth and constructive capital actions (e.g., buybacks/dividends) drive higher EPS and multiple expansion, lifting shares toward the upper range of published targets.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28.
What can break
Core deposit outflows
Momentum
61
Value
37
Sentiment
55
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $10.36 · Bull $12.75 · Bear $6.05Analysis 2026-01-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-28
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $15.00
Why
Momentum61 · Δ7d -
Value37 · Δ7d +1.0
Sentiment55 · Δ7d -
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Core deposit outflows
  • • Low liquidity and sparse analyst coverage
  • • Material deposit outflows, rapid funding-cost increases, or worsening CRE/office credit force higher reserves or asset sales, compressing earnings and pushing the stock toward the low end of published targets while reducing trading liquidity.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-28

Analyst target revisions / consensus update

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
61
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
37
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.0
Δ21d
+1.8
Sentiment
55
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 61.3 / Value 37.0 / Sentiment 55.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$12.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$10.36
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$6.05
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$93.12M
Beta
0.57
Shares Out
9.51M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-20.5
P/S (TTM)
1.33
P/FCF (TTM)
6.18
Rev YoY
-6.3%
EPS YoY
-91.7%
Gross Margin
-
Op Margin
+0.7%
Net Debt
$309.05M
Current Ratio
0.07
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data