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FNV

Franco-NevadaC
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Sustained higher precious-metal prices, accretive portfolio additions, and margin resilience push Franco‑Nevada toward the bull target.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
Concentration risk in large royalties or pipeline
Momentum
89
Value
48
Sentiment
63
Setup hits (3d)
9 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $259.00 · Bull $320.00 · Bear $210.00Analysis 2026-01-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $285.01
Why
Momentum89 · Δ7d +2.7
Value48 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment63 · Δ7d +1.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 9 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Concentration risk in large royalties or pipeline
  • • Operator counterparty or production disruptions
  • • A prolonged commodity sell-off, operator production issues, or adverse deal economics compress royalty cash flows and move the stock toward the bear target.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-30

Analyst consensus 12-month target review

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
89
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.7
Δ21d
+20.3
Value
48
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+8.0
Sentiment
63
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.9
Δ21d
-15.2
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 89.4 / Value 47.8 / Sentiment 62.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-30. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$320.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$259.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$210.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$45.99B
Beta
0.77
Shares Out
192.87M
P/E (TTM)
44.6
P/S (TTM)
26.50
P/FCF (TTM)
228.79
Rev YoY
+57.2%
EPS YoY
+43.1%
Gross Margin
+77.3%
Op Margin
+75.4%
Net Debt
-$670.9M
Current Ratio
9.38
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data