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FNV

Franco-NevadaB
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Sustained higher precious-metal prices, accretive portfolio additions, and margin resilience push Franco‑Nevada toward the bull target.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-23.
What can break
Concentration risk in large royalties or pipeline
Momentum
55
Value
47
Sentiment
67
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $259.00 · Bull $320.00 · Bear $210.00Analysis 2026-01-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $287.46
Why
Momentum55 · Δ7d -1.5
Value47 · Δ7d +0.5
Sentiment67 · Δ7d +8.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-23.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +8.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Concentration risk in large royalties or pipeline
  • • Operator counterparty or production disruptions
  • • A prolonged commodity sell-off, operator production issues, or adverse deal economics compress royalty cash flows and move the stock toward the bear target.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-30

Analyst consensus 12-month target review

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
55
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-1.5
Δ21d
-19.6
Value
47
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.5
Δ21d
+0.3
Sentiment
67
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.6
Δ21d
-5.3
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 55.3 / Value 47.5 / Sentiment 67.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-30. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$320.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$259.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$210.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$44.13B
Beta
0.77
Shares Out
192.87M
P/E (TTM)
44.6
P/S (TTM)
26.50
P/FCF (TTM)
228.79
Rev YoY
+57.2%
EPS YoY
+43.1%
Gross Margin
+77.3%
Op Margin
+75.4%
Net Debt
-$670.9M
Current Ratio
9.38
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data