FLY

Firefly AerospaceC

Nasdaq / Capital Goods

At close

2026-07-22

Current thesis

Bull case: successful scale‑up of launch cadence, several commercial contracts secured, and improved reliability lead to rapid revenue growth and multiple expansion toward the high analyst targets.

Posture

Mixed

Lead driver

Sentiment

What changed

Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.

What can break

Certification or regulatory delays

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

100

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $39.29 · Bull $68.25 · Bear $27.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-22

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-22 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-22 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-01-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-22

Supporting evidence

What

Grade C · Mixed

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $46.00

Why

Momentum2 · Δ7d -0.4

Value43 · Δ7d +0.0

Sentiment100 · Δ7d 0.0

So what

Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.4

Δ21d

-2.1

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.0

Δ21d

-0.0

Sentiment

100

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

0.0

Δ21d

+6.9

Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 2.1 / Value 42.9 / Sentiment 100.0

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-22

Market Cap

$3.32B

Beta

Shares Out

164.24M

P/E (TTM) · Derived

-9.7

P/S (TTM)

P/FCF (TTM) · Derived

-11.88

Rev YoY

+44.8%

EPS YoY

+20.3%

Gross Margin

+19.2%

Op Margin

Net Debt

-$584.38M

Current Ratio

2.53

As of 2026-07-22 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology