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FINV

FinVolution GroupA
NYSE / Financial Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Overseas revenue and operating profit growth, reiterated 2026 revenue guidance, and ongoing repurchases provide a constructive offset to domestic weakness [#SEC-6K-2026-05-26].
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.3.
What can break
Analyst revisions, post-print price-reaction attribution, and social sentiment are unavailable.
Momentum
4
Value
63
Sentiment
85
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $4.52 · Bull $5.20 · Bear $3.70Analysis 2026-08-21; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-21 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $5.49
Why
Momentum4 · Δ7d -2.0
Value63 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment85 · Δ7d +2.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst revisions, post-print price-reaction attribution, and social sentiment are unavailable.
  • • Chinese online-finance regulation and related compliance costs may pressure marketing efficiency and operating margins.
  • • The domestic business remains in recovery, with materially lower transaction volume and group earnings.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-27

Q2 2026 results are still upcoming

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
4
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-2.0
Δ21d
-19.0
Value
63
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
85
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.3
Δ21d
+31.5
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 3.7 / Value 63.1 / Sentiment 85.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-21. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$5.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$4.52
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$3.70
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-21 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.06B
Beta
0.44
Shares Out
129.95M
P/E (TTM)
3.6
P/S (TTM)
0.68
P/FCF (TTM)
6.13
Rev YoY
-3.6%
EPS YoY
-40.1%
Gross Margin
+77.1%
Op Margin
+19.7%
Net Debt
-$1.13B
Current Ratio
3.56
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data