FDX
FedExCNYSE / Transportation
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
Current thesis
The bull case is that Q4 proved the core parcel network still has pricing and cost-savings momentum: revenue rose to $25.0 billion, adjusted EPS reached $6.31, and management cited stronger priority yields, export volume, and transformation savings [#SEC-8K-2026-06-23]. Delayed post-print coverage has been mixed but not bearish across the board, with some analysts emphasizing underlying momentum despite near-term transition noise.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.
What can break
Aircraft retirements and prior MD-11 operational issues underscore continuing fleet and network execution risk [#SEC-8K-2026-06-23] [#SEC-8K-2026-03-19].
Momentum
32
Value
60
Sentiment
57
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $355.00 · Bull $390.00 · Bear $285.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-06-26 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $374.50
Why
Momentum32 · Δ7d -9.0
Value60 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment57 · Δ7d -3.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
32
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.0
Δ21d
-33.3
Value
60
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+0.3
Sentiment
57
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.2
Δ21d
+0.1
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 32.0 / Value 59.6 / Sentiment 57.0
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$74.68B
Beta
1.34
Shares Out
238.61M
P/E (TTM)
16.4
P/S (TTM)
0.78
P/FCF (TTM)
23.33
Rev YoY
+8.3%
EPS YoY
+17.5%
Gross Margin
+22.0%
Op Margin
+6.3%
Net Debt
$31.84B
Current Ratio
1.47
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology

