FAST

FastenalC

Nasdaq / Capital Goods

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

Q2 delivered strong sales growth, share gains, pricing contribution, operating leverage, cash generation, and shareholder returns. Continued customer-site, digital, and key-account expansion could sustain positive earnings momentum [#SEC-8K-2026-07-14].

Posture

Mixed

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.

What can break

Growth may continue to be viewed as insufficient if margin expansion does not accompany sales gains.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $48.58 · Bull $53.00 · Bear $40.50

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-07-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade C · Mixed

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $48.50

Why

Momentum50 · Δ7d +4.4

Value47 · Δ7d 0.0

Sentiment51 · Δ7d -5.4

So what

Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+4.4

Δ21d

+6.4

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

0.0

Δ21d

-0.2

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-5.4

Δ21d

-2.2

Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 50.3 / Value 47.2 / Sentiment 50.7

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$52.22B

Beta

0.89

Shares Out

1.15B

P/E (TTM)

38.6

P/S (TTM)

5.91

P/FCF (TTM)

883.02

Rev YoY

+12.4%

EPS YoY

+13.6%

Gross Margin

+42.9%

Op Margin

+20.2%

Net Debt

$165.1M

Current Ratio

4.39

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology