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F

Ford MotorB
NYSE / Automobiles & Components
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Higher Q2 adjusted EBIT despite lower revenue, followed by raised full-year EBIT and free-cash-flow guidance, supports a measured improvement thesis if pricing, mix, and cost savings persist. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
News driver: JPMorgan, Ford to Invest Billions in Michigan Manufacturing.
What can break
Aluminum disruption remains a production risk; the timing and magnitude of recovery are not quantified. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28]
Momentum
43
Value
55
Sentiment
62
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $13.50 · Bull $16.20 · Bear $10.50Analysis 2026-09-25; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-28 · AMC
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-25 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $15.59
Why
Momentum43 · Δ7d +4.9
Value55 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment62 · Δ7d +9.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • News driver: JPMorgan, Ford to Invest Billions in Michigan Manufacturing.
  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-28 · AMC.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Aluminum disruption remains a production risk; the timing and magnitude of recovery are not quantified. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28]
  • • BlueOval SK disposition and EV program cancellations created substantial Q2 special-item charges; further execution costs remain possible. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-28]
  • • Q2 wholesale units declined 12%; aluminum constraints, EV restructuring charges, and weaker industry sales or incentives could interrupt margin and cash-flow progress.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-28 · AMC

Volume and mix test after Q2 wholesale decline

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
43
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+4.9
Δ21d
+2.1
Value
55
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
62
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.2
Δ21d
-5.7
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 43.1 / Value 54.5 / Sentiment 61.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-25. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$16.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$13.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-25 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$46.26B
Beta
1.67
Shares Out
3.99B
P/E (TTM)
11.6
P/S (TTM)
0.28
P/FCF (TTM)
6.02
Rev YoY
-3.8%
EPS YoY
+3557.1%
Gross Margin
+8.0%
Op Margin
+2.0%
Net Debt
$127.25B
Current Ratio
1.09
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data