EXPD
Expeditors International of WashingtonDNYSE / Transportation
Last Price
At close
2026-07-18
Current thesis
The post-print bull case is that Expeditors showed better earnings quality than the directional prior implied: Q1 EPS improved, airfreight and customs/services grew, and the asset-light model can benefit when disruption increases forwarding and brokerage complexity. If those drivers persist, the stock can hold a premium despite transportation cyclicality.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.0.
What can break
Ocean freight pricing and container volumes remained weaker year over year, with lower profitability on Asia exports a direct drag on mix.
Momentum
59
Value
49
Sentiment
24
Setup hits (3d)
— · Net —
AI TargetsBase $142.00 · Bull $166.00 · Bear $126.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-18
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-18
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-18
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net —
Target $158.92
Why
Momentum59 · Δ7d +12.5
Value49 · Δ7d -1.0
Sentiment24 · Δ7d -6.9
So what
Weak posture. Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
59
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+12.5
Δ21d
+10.3
Value
49
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.0
Δ21d
-1.8
Sentiment
24
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.9
Δ21d
-11.6
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 59.3 / Value 49.2 / Sentiment 23.9
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-17
Market Cap
$23.91B
Beta
1.13
Shares Out
130.79M
P/E (TTM)
25.1
P/S (TTM)
1.85
P/FCF (TTM)
25.20
Rev YoY
+4.4%
EPS YoY
+16.3%
Gross Margin
+15.6%
Op Margin
+9.9%
Net Debt
-$743.7M
Current Ratio
1.70
As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology