EXE

Expand EnergyA

Nasdaq / Energy

At close

2026-07-21

Current thesis

Bull thesis: execution on project FID(s) and stronger-than-expected production/CF from new assets drives meaningful upside toward the high end of analyst targets; multiple analysts show upside potential if guidance/macro align [#SERP-3], [#SERP-4].

Posture

Constructive

Lead driver

Sentiment

What changed

Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-07-28 · AMC.

What can break

Commodity-price swings could sharply reduce realized margins and cash flow, pressuring valuation and liquidity [#SERP-10].

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $131.00 · Bull $165.00 · Bear $100.00

Earnings

2026-07-28 · AMC

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-21

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-21 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-01-27 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-21

Supporting evidence

What

Grade A · Constructive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $126.15

Why

Momentum25 · Δ7d +6.0

Value68 · Δ7d +0.2

Sentiment83 · Δ7d -4.3

So what

Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+6.0

Δ21d

-5.0

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.2

Δ21d

+1.2

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-4.3

Δ21d

-4.3

Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 25.5 / Value 67.6 / Sentiment 83.5

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-21

Market Cap

$21.19B

Beta

0.45

Shares Out

239.23M

P/E (TTM)

30.3

P/S (TTM)

2.35

P/FCF (TTM)

39.81

Rev YoY

+40.8%

EPS YoY

-553.2%

Gross Margin

+50.2%

Op Margin

+12.4%

Net Debt

$4.1B

Current Ratio

1.11

As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology