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EVRG

EvergyD
Nasdaq / Utilities
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull case assumes favorable regulatory outcomes (above-consensus allowed ROE), timely recovery of capex in rates, and lower financing costs enabling earnings accretion toward the analyst high; under this scenario shares move toward the analyst high of 97.65.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.0.
What can break
Adverse rate-case rulings or lower-than-requested ROE
Momentum
53
Value
49
Sentiment
54
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $83.00 · Bull $97.65 · Bear $76.00Analysis 2026-02-20; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-20 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $92.40
Why
Momentum53 · Δ7d +25.0
Value49 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment54 · Δ7d +2.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Adverse rate-case rulings or lower-than-requested ROE
  • • Higher financing costs or weaker cash flow leading to credit pressure
  • • Bear case assumes adverse rate decisions or material disallowances, higher-than-expected capex/operating costs, or persistent regulatory delays that compress cash flow and valuation toward the analyst low near 76.0.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-21

Kansas general rate-case decision (KCC)

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
53
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+25.0
Δ21d
+6.7
Value
49
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-1.0
Sentiment
54
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.0
Δ21d
+2.6
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 52.9 / Value 49.2 / Sentiment 53.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-20. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$97.65
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$83.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$76.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$19.35B
Beta
0.64
Shares Out
230.51M
P/E (TTM)
19.9
P/S (TTM)
2.83
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-9.68
Rev YoY
+4.8%
EPS YoY
+23.5%
Gross Margin
+32.5%
Op Margin
+25.6%
Net Debt
$15.37B
Current Ratio
0.36
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data