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EVRG

EvergyC
Nasdaq / Utilities
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull case assumes favorable regulatory outcomes (above-consensus allowed ROE), timely recovery of capex in rates, and lower financing costs enabling earnings accretion toward the analyst high; under this scenario shares move toward the analyst high of 97.65.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-28.
What can break
Adverse rate-case rulings or lower-than-requested ROE
Momentum
64
Value
49
Sentiment
57
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $83.00 · Bull $97.65 · Bear $76.00Analysis 2026-02-20; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-28 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-20 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $91.46
Why
Momentum64 · Δ7d +5.0
Value49 · Δ7d +0.3
Sentiment57 · Δ7d -2.2
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-28.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -2.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Adverse rate-case rulings or lower-than-requested ROE
  • • Higher financing costs or weaker cash flow leading to credit pressure
  • • Bear case assumes adverse rate decisions or material disallowances, higher-than-expected capex/operating costs, or persistent regulatory delays that compress cash flow and valuation toward the analyst low near 76.0.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-21

Kansas general rate-case decision (KCC)

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
64
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+5.0
Δ21d
+14.9
Value
49
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.3
Δ21d
-0.5
Sentiment
57
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.2
Δ21d
-12.8
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 63.5 / Value 48.6 / Sentiment 56.8

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-20. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$97.65
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$83.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$76.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-20 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-28
Market Cap
$19.42B
Beta
0.64
Shares Out
230.51M
P/E (TTM)
19.9
P/S (TTM)
2.83
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-9.72
Rev YoY
+4.8%
EPS YoY
+23.5%
Gross Margin
+32.5%
Op Margin
+25.6%
Net Debt
$15.37B
Current Ratio
0.36
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data