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EVC

EntravisionA
NYSE / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The bull case is that Q1 marked a real business mix shift: ATS drove 204% growth, accounted for roughly 78% of revenue, and pushed consolidated operating income back into solidly positive territory, while debt continued to decline. [#8-K-2026-05-05] [#10-Q-2026-05-05]
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29.
What can break
ATS concentration risk remains material because the company cites dependence on the gaming industry and on a single Hong Kong advertiser for a significant amount of ATS and total revenue. [#10-Q-2026-05-05]
Momentum
13
Value
57
Sentiment
77
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $7.40 · Bull $8.75 · Bear $5.40Analysis 2026-05-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum13 · Δ7d -2.8
Value57 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment77 · Δ7d +1.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • ATS concentration risk remains material because the company cites dependence on the gaming industry and on a single Hong Kong advertiser for a significant amount of ATS and total revenue. [#10-Q-2026-05-05]
  • • Leverage is still meaningful with $162.2 million of debt as of March 31, 2026, and the credit facility matures on March 17, 2028; interest-rate sensitivity and covenant compliance still matter. [#10-Q-2026-05-05]
  • • The bear case is that the legacy Media segment still posted a wider operating loss, the company disclosed dependence on the gaming industry and a single Hong Kong advertiser for a significant amount of ATS revenue, and no reliable T+3 analyst target-revision wave was available to validate a lasting post-earnings rerating.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29

Post-earnings rerating after ATS-led Q1 inflection

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
13
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.8
Δ21d
-15.8
Value
57
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.7
Sentiment
77
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.9
Δ21d
+8.1
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 12.9 / Value 56.6 / Sentiment 77.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$8.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
0%
Probability
Target price
$7.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$5.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$580.49M
Beta
1.31
Shares Out
92.29M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-7.3
P/S (TTM)
0.67
P/FCF (TTM)
5.82
Rev YoY
+126.2%
EPS YoY
-597.1%
Gross Margin
+22.9%
Op Margin
+8.4%
Net Debt
$149.63M
Current Ratio
1.48
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data