B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$8.75
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
EVC
EntravisionDNYSE / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The bull case is that Q1 marked a real business mix shift: ATS drove 204% growth, accounted for roughly 78% of revenue, and pushed consolidated operating income back into solidly positive territory, while debt continued to decline. [#8-K-2026-05-05] [#10-Q-2026-05-05]
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.5.
What can break
ATS concentration risk remains material because the company cites dependence on the gaming industry and on a single Hong Kong advertiser for a significant amount of ATS and total revenue. [#10-Q-2026-05-05]
Momentum
10
Value
53
Sentiment
48
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $7.40 · Bull $8.75 · Bear $5.40Analysis 2026-05-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum10 · Δ7d -1.3
Value53 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment48 · Δ7d +1.5
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.5.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • ATS concentration risk remains material because the company cites dependence on the gaming industry and on a single Hong Kong advertiser for a significant amount of ATS and total revenue. [#10-Q-2026-05-05]
- • Leverage is still meaningful with $162.2 million of debt as of March 31, 2026, and the credit facility matures on March 17, 2028; interest-rate sensitivity and covenant compliance still matter. [#10-Q-2026-05-05]
- • The bear case is that the legacy Media segment still posted a wider operating loss, the company disclosed dependence on the gaming industry and a single Hong Kong advertiser for a significant amount of ATS revenue, and no reliable T+3 analyst target-revision wave was available to validate a lasting post-earnings rerating.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-30
Post-earnings rerating after ATS-led Q1 inflection
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
10
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-1.3
Δ21d
-77.5
Value
53
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+7.2
Sentiment
48
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.5
Δ21d
+3.6
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 9.9 / Value 53.2 / Sentiment 47.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-08. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
0%
Probability
Target price
$7.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$5.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$818.23M
Beta
1.31
Shares Out
92.04M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-10.3
P/S (TTM)
0.67
P/FCF (TTM)
5.82
Rev YoY
+126.2%
EPS YoY
-597.1%
Gross Margin
+22.9%
Op Margin
+8.4%
Net Debt
$149.63M
Current Ratio
1.48
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data