ETSY
EtsyBNYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail
Last Price
At close
2026-07-22
Current thesis
The bull case is that Q1 marked a real operating turn: Etsy delivered a second straight quarter of Etsy marketplace GMS growth, saw healthier buyer metrics, improved full-year commentary, and has multiple self-help levers in app, search, personalization, and seller tooling [#8-K-2026-04-29]. If the Depop sale closes on time, incremental buybacks could add support.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Momentum
What changed
Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.1.
What can break
Consumer discretionary demand could soften if macro conditions worsen; management said it is closely monitoring consumer confidence and spending trends [#8-K-2026-04-29].
Momentum
92
Value
55
Sentiment
32
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $62.00 · Bull $72.00 · Bear $52.00
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-22
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-22 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-22
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-22
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $77.61
Why
Momentum92 · Δ7d +3.1
Value55 · Δ7d +0.8
Sentiment32 · Δ7d +1.0
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals
Momentum
92
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+3.1
Δ21d
+0.8
Value
55
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.8
Δ21d
-0.7
Sentiment
32
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+1.0
Δ21d
-8.3
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 92.2 / Value 54.6 / Sentiment 31.9
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-20
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-20
Market Cap
$7.97B
Beta
1.77
Shares Out
94.9M
P/E (TTM)
41.0
P/S (TTM)
2.03
P/FCF (TTM)
9.10
Rev YoY
+3.1%
EPS YoY
-224.0%
Gross Margin
+72.0%
Op Margin
+10.1%
Net Debt
$1.5B
Current Ratio
1.69
As of 2026-07-22 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology