ETSY

EtsyB

NYSE / Consumer Discretionary Distribution & Retail

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

The bull case is that Q1 marked a real operating turn: Etsy delivered a second straight quarter of Etsy marketplace GMS growth, saw healthier buyer metrics, improved full-year commentary, and has multiple self-help levers in app, search, personalization, and seller tooling [#8-K-2026-04-29]. If the Depop sale closes on time, incremental buybacks could add support.

Posture

Constructive

Lead driver

Momentum

What changed

Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +4.3.

What can break

Consumer discretionary demand could soften if macro conditions worsen; management said it is closely monitoring consumer confidence and spending trends [#8-K-2026-04-29].

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

— · Net —

AI TargetsBase $62.00 · Bull $72.00 · Bear $52.00

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade B · Constructive

Confidence Medium · Net —

Target $75.58

Why

Momentum92 · Δ7d +4.3

Value54 · Δ7d -0.3

Sentiment30 · Δ7d -5.0

So what

Strength-led posture. Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Setup hits not loaded

Load setup hits to see net bias and recent triggers.

Load setup hits

Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+4.3

Δ21d

+0.0

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.3

Δ21d

-0.4

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-5.0

Δ21d

-7.2

Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 91.8 / Value 54.2 / Sentiment 30.0

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$7.98B

Beta

1.77

Shares Out

94.9M

P/E (TTM)

41.0

P/S (TTM)

2.03

P/FCF (TTM)

9.10

Rev YoY

+3.1%

EPS YoY

-224.0%

Gross Margin

+72.0%

Op Margin

+10.1%

Net Debt

$1.5B

Current Ratio

1.69

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology