ESRT
Empire State Realty TrustCNYSE / Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Last Price
At close
2026-07-21
Current thesis
Bull case assumes steady leasing momentum in Midtown, improved street-level retail, and successful modest accretive capital recycling leading to ~40–50% upside within 12 months.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -7.7.
What can break
Large tenant vacancies or credit events
Momentum
31
Value
53
Sentiment
71
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $8.00 · Bull $11.00 · Bear $5.50
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-21
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-21 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-09-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-21
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-21
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $6.19
Why
Momentum31 · Δ7d +0.7
Value53 · Δ7d -
Sentiment71 · Δ7d -7.7
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
31
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+0.7
Δ21d
+13.4
Value
53
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
71
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-7.7
Δ21d
-10.0
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 30.8 / Value 52.6 / Sentiment 71.4
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-21
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-21
Market Cap
$953.54M
Beta
1.37
Shares Out
172.43M
P/E (TTM)
49.6
P/S (TTM)
1.42
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
46.43
Rev YoY
+5.7%
EPS YoY
-86.8%
Gross Margin
+27.4%
Op Margin
+18.7%
Net Debt
$2.27B
Current Ratio
3.40
As of 2026-07-21 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology