ESRT
Empire State Realty TrustCNYSE / Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
Current thesis
Bull case assumes steady leasing momentum in Midtown, improved street-level retail, and successful modest accretive capital recycling leading to ~40–50% upside within 12 months.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.4.
What can break
Large tenant vacancies or credit events
Momentum
30
Value
52
Sentiment
72
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $8.00 · Bull $11.00 · Bear $5.50
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-06-02
Fundamentals
As of 2026-06-02 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-06-02 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-09-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-06-02
Investment thesis
As of 2026-06-02
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $7.26
Why
Momentum30 · Δ7d +0.9
Value52 · Δ7d -1.3
Sentiment72 · Δ7d +1.4
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
30
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.9
Δ21d
+5.6
Value
52
32% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.3
Δ21d
-
Sentiment
72
33% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.4
Δ21d
+3.6
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 29.8 / Value 52.2 / Sentiment 71.5
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-06-02
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-06-02
Market Cap
$982.85M
Beta
1.37
Shares Out
170.19M
P/E (TTM)
49.6
P/S (TTM)
1.42
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-53.13
Rev YoY
-0.9%
EPS YoY
-41.2%
Gross Margin
+54.0%
Op Margin
+18.7%
Net Debt
$2.07B
Current Ratio
-
As of 2026-06-02 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology