B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$76.69
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-10-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
ESLT
ElbitFNasdaq / Capital Goods
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Execution holds, sizable contract wins materialize and margins expand; multiple re-rating and backlog optionality generate ~30%+ upside versus the anchor.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.
What can break
Contract concentration and timing delays
Momentum
33
Value
47
Sentiment
0
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $61.94 · Bull $76.69 · Bear $47.19Analysis 2025-10-10; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2025-10-10 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-11
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $902.14
Why
Momentum33 · Δ7d +2.8
Value47 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment0 · Δ7d 0.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Contract concentration and timing delays
- • Export controls or allied restrictions
- • Export restrictions, weaker bookings or contract delays compress multiples and margins, producing roughly 20–25% downside from the anchor.
Catalyst clock
No dated catalyst is available.
Quarterly results — re-rating risk
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
33
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.8
Δ21d
-15.6
Value
47
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+0.8
Sentiment
0
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
0.0
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 32.5 / Value 47.1 / Sentiment 0.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2025-10-10. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$61.94
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-10-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$47.19
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2025-10-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$36.86B
Beta
0.36
Shares Out
46.86M
P/E (TTM)
62.3
P/S (TTM)
3.71
P/FCF (TTM)
44.89
Rev YoY
+15.9%
EPS YoY
+34.0%
Gross Margin
+25.0%
Op Margin
+9.2%
Net Debt
$149.07M
Current Ratio
1.39
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data