B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$44.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
ESI
Element SolutionsBNYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q3 delivered 13% organic sales growth, $191 million of adjusted EBITDA and $135 million of free cash flow; Electronics growth and the increase to approximately $720 million of 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance strengthen the standalone earnings case [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21]. Mizuho raised its target from $42 to $44 after the print, although it retained a Neutral rating (MarketBeat).
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -14.6.
What can break
Electronics growth depends partly on continued AI-infrastructure and high-performance-electronics demand, which management identifies as Q3 drivers [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21].
Momentum
65
Value
48
Sentiment
62
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $37.00 · Bull $44.00 · Bear $27.00Analysis 2026-10-26; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-26
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $47.15
Why
Momentum65 · Δ7d -9.3
Value48 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment62 · Δ7d -14.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -14.6.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Electronics growth depends partly on continued AI-infrastructure and high-performance-electronics demand, which management identifies as Q3 drivers [#SEC-8K-2026-10-21].
- • Kuprion capacity expansion and acquisition integration require spending before the expected revenue ramp; slower conversion could pressure cash returns (earnings-call transcript).
- • The roughly 8.9% post-print decline shows that a beat and guidance increase did not resolve concerns about the Q4 earnings bridge.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-20
Post-earnings selloff tests confidence in the raised outlook
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
65
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.3
Δ21d
+16.6
Value
48
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+0.2
Sentiment
62
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-14.6
Δ21d
-12.7
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 65.0 / Value 48.0 / Sentiment 62.1
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-26. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$37.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-26
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$8.14B
Beta
1.28
Shares Out
242.6M
P/E (TTM)
26.9
P/S (TTM)
2.57
P/FCF (TTM)
33.38
Rev YoY
+56.4%
EPS YoY
+61.9%
Gross Margin
+38.4%
Op Margin
+14.8%
Net Debt
$1.09B
Current Ratio
2.91
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data