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ERIC

Telefonaktiebolaget LM EricssonB
Nasdaq / Technology Hardware & Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull case: faster-than-expected recovery in operator capex, share gains in 5G radio and cloudified core, and re-rating toward higher software/services mix driving multiples above current levels.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.
What can break
Aggressive competitive pricing and market share pressure
Momentum
60
Value
66
Sentiment
48
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $9.73 · Bull $12.07 · Bear $6.40Analysis 2026-01-24; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-01-24 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $10.48
Why
Momentum60 · Δ7d +24.7
Value66 · Δ7d -0.4
Sentiment48 · Δ7d -0.6
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Aggressive competitive pricing and market share pressure
  • • Currency volatility impacting reported USD results
  • • Bear case: prolonged operator capex weakness, margin pressure from competitive pricing and execution delays, and macro/currency shocks compressing revenue and EPS below current consensus.

Catalyst clock

2026-04-24

Quarterly earnings & guidance update (FY2025/Q4)

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
60
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+24.7
Δ21d
+38.5
Value
66
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
-2.0
Sentiment
48
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.6
Δ21d
-21.9
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 59.6 / Value 66.5 / Sentiment 48.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-01-24. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$12.07
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$9.73
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$6.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-01-24 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$35.52B
Beta
0.46
Shares Out
3B
P/E (TTM)
12.1
P/S (TTM)
1.26
P/FCF (TTM)
14.34
Rev YoY
-3.1%
EPS YoY
-8.0%
Gross Margin
+48.1%
Op Margin
+13.8%
Net Debt
-$1.78B
Current Ratio
1.12
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data