B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$6.90
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
EPSN
Epsilon EnergyCNasdaq / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The Q2 update provides stronger forward visibility than the prior baseline: Niobrara wells reportedly exceeded type-curve expectations, Parkman is ahead of schedule, and second-half production growth is expected to accelerate, with Q4 as the main inflection point [#EARNINGS-TRANSCRIPT-2026Q2].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Higher development spending and revolver use may increase leverage or reduce financial flexibility.
Momentum
39
Value
56
Sentiment
62
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $6.10 · Bull $6.90 · Bear $4.40Analysis 2026-08-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum39 · Δ7d -
Value56 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment62 · Δ7d -
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Higher development spending and revolver use may increase leverage or reduce financial flexibility.
- • Low coverage, absent analyst targets, and limited direct peers reduce valuation confidence.
- • The thesis is execution-dependent.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-12
Q2 earnings reset the thesis toward second-half production growth
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
39
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
56
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+1.9
Sentiment
62
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 38.6 / Value 55.9 / Sentiment 61.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-17. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$6.10
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$4.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$171.1M
Beta
-0.03
Shares Out
30.28M
P/E (TTM)
16.9
P/S (TTM)
2.38
P/FCF (TTM)
24.50
Rev YoY
+57.1%
EPS YoY
+235.5%
Gross Margin
+49.1%
Op Margin
+35.9%
Net Debt
$42.15M
Current Ratio
0.96
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data