EPSN

Epsilon EnergyC

Nasdaq / Energy

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

The post-earnings read-through is better on operations than on headline GAAP earnings: Q1 revenue rose to $25.6 million from $16.2 million a year earlier, Adjusted EBITDA rose to $13.4 million from $10.6 million, and management tied the improvement to strong Marcellus gas pricing plus a full quarter of PRB contribution, with more oil-weighted volumes expected later in 2026 [#PR-2026-05-13]. If Barnett, Niobrara, and Parkman milestones stay on schedule while debt declines, the stock can move off a low-expectation base.

Posture

Mixed

Lead driver

Sentiment

What changed

Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -4.0.

What can break

Commodity and hedge risk cut both ways: management said about 60% of currently online oil production is hedged in the mid-$60s WTI for the rest of 2026, while Q1 GAAP results were materially hit by a $7.9 million unrealized hedge loss [#PR-2026-05-13].

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

— · Net —

AI TargetsBase $6.60 · Bull $7.60 · Bear $5.10

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade C · Mixed

Confidence Medium · Net —

Why

Momentum39 · Δ7d -2.5

Value53 · Δ7d -0.5

Sentiment62 · Δ7d -4.0

So what

Balanced signals. Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Setup hits not loaded

Load setup hits to see net bias and recent triggers.

Load setup hits

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-2.5

Δ21d

+1.9

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.5

Δ21d

+0.5

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-4.0

Δ21d

+6.1

Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 38.6 / Value 53.4 / Sentiment 62.0

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$166.97M

Beta

-0.03

Shares Out

30.25M

P/E (TTM)

16.9

P/S (TTM)

2.38

P/FCF (TTM)

24.50

Rev YoY

+58.4%

EPS YoY

-86.7%

Gross Margin

+49.1%

Op Margin

+20.2%

Net Debt

$42.15M

Current Ratio

1.08

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology