B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$21.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
EPC
Edgewell Personal CareFNYSE / Household & Personal Products
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The primary bullish read is that Q2 exceeded management’s internal expectations, reported net sales still grew 0.6%, adjusted EPS was $0.60, adjusted EBITDA was $73.8 million, and adjusted full-year EPS and EBITDA guidance were reaffirmed. The company also ended the quarter with $299.7 million of cash and no U.S.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.
What can break
Adjusted net debt leverage was about 4.0x at quarter-end, leaving less room for operational missteps even after revolver paydown.
Momentum
87
Value
55
Sentiment
15
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $16.50 · Bull $21.00 · Bear $12.50Analysis 2026-05-16; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $32.17
Why
Momentum87 · Δ7d +7.1
Value55 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment15 · Δ7d +3.9
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adjusted net debt leverage was about 4.0x at quarter-end, leaving less room for operational missteps even after revolver paydown.
- • Fiscal 2026 restructuring charges were raised to about $90 million, increasing execution risk and depressing GAAP earnings.
- • The bear case is that underlying demand still looks uneven: organic sales declined 2.4%, North America organic sales fell 4.8%, gross margin fell 410 basis points, and management cut GAAP EPS guidance to flat-to-$0.40 from $0.55-$0.95 because of higher restructuring and legal costs.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-14
Next quarterly print must validate the reaffirmed adjusted outlook
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
87
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.1
Δ21d
+3.5
Value
55
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-3.5
Sentiment
15
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.9
Δ21d
+4.7
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 86.6 / Value 54.9 / Sentiment 15.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-16. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$16.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$12.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.29B
Beta
0.61
Shares Out
46.09M
P/E (TTM)
32.3
P/S (TTM)
0.35
P/FCF (TTM)
64.90
Rev YoY
+1.7%
EPS YoY
-52.5%
Gross Margin
+41.7%
Op Margin
+6.5%
Net Debt
$1.26B
Current Ratio
1.84
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data