B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$21.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
EPC
Edgewell Personal CareFNYSE / Household & Personal Products
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
The primary bullish read is that Q2 exceeded management’s internal expectations, reported net sales still grew 0.6%, adjusted EPS was $0.60, adjusted EBITDA was $73.8 million, and adjusted full-year EPS and EBITDA guidance were reaffirmed. The company also ended the quarter with $299.7 million of cash and no U.S.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
What can break
Adjusted net debt leverage was about 4.0x at quarter-end, leaving less room for operational missteps even after revolver paydown.
Momentum
88
Value
55
Sentiment
15
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $16.50 · Bull $21.00 · Bear $12.50Analysis 2026-05-16; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade F · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $32.17
Why
Momentum88 · Δ7d +13.1
Value55 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment15 · Δ7d +5.1
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta 0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adjusted net debt leverage was about 4.0x at quarter-end, leaving less room for operational missteps even after revolver paydown.
- • Fiscal 2026 restructuring charges were raised to about $90 million, increasing execution risk and depressing GAAP earnings.
- • The bear case is that underlying demand still looks uneven: organic sales declined 2.4%, North America organic sales fell 4.8%, gross margin fell 410 basis points, and management cut GAAP EPS guidance to flat-to-$0.40 from $0.55-$0.95 because of higher restructuring and legal costs.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-14
Next quarterly print must validate the reaffirmed adjusted outlook
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
88
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+13.1
Δ21d
+4.9
Value
55
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-3.6
Sentiment
15
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+5.1
Δ21d
+6.0
Why this grade
Composite grade F. Momentum 87.7 / Value 54.9 / Sentiment 14.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-05-16. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$16.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$12.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-05-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.29B
Beta
0.61
Shares Out
46.09M
P/E (TTM)
32.3
P/S (TTM)
0.35
P/FCF (TTM)
64.90
Rev YoY
+1.7%
EPS YoY
-52.5%
Gross Margin
+41.7%
Op Margin
+6.5%
Net Debt
$1.26B
Current Ratio
1.84
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data