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EPAM

EPAMD
NYSE / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 revenue and EPS exceeded the packet's pre-release expectations, margins expanded materially, and management reiterated AI-native momentum. Continued profitability improvement and stronger AI-led demand could support recovery.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-24.
What can break
AI-native strategy may not translate into faster organic growth.
Momentum
69
Value
66
Sentiment
28
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $105.00 · Bull $122.10 · Bear $80.00Analysis 2026-08-08; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $122.56
Why
Momentum69 · Δ7d -0.4
Value66 · Δ7d -1.0
Sentiment28 · Δ7d -8.0
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • 2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-24.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • AI-native strategy may not translate into faster organic growth.
  • • Analyst revisions and post-earnings target changes are unavailable.
  • • The full-year revenue-growth outlook was reduced to 3.2%-4.2%, including only 2.0%-3.0% organic constant-currency growth.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-06

Q2 beat and margin expansion offset by lower full-year revenue guide [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
69
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-0.4
Δ21d
+2.3
Value
66
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-1.0
Δ21d
-2.0
Sentiment
28
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.0
Δ21d
-28.3
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 69.1 / Value 65.8 / Sentiment 27.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-08. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$122.10
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$105.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$80.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-08 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$7.03B
Beta
1.72
Shares Out
51.59M
P/E (TTM)
31.5
P/S (TTM)
2.15
P/FCF (TTM)
24.86
Rev YoY
+4.5%
EPS YoY
+26.5%
Gross Margin
+26.9%
Op Margin
+9.8%
Net Debt
-$1.15B
Current Ratio
2.75
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data