B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$220.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
ENSG
Ensign GroupCNasdaq / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q2 results beat expectations, occupancy improved, clinical metrics remained strong, and management raised full-year guidance. Continued acquired-facility contribution and rental growth could support upside.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.
What can break
Cash declined to $262.3 million from $503.9 million at 2025 year-end, requiring monitoring alongside acquisitions and capital returns.
Momentum
45
Value
56
Sentiment
49
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $180.00 · Bull $220.00 · Bear $145.00Analysis 2026-09-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $220.00
Why
Momentum45 · Δ7d -8.2
Value56 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment49 · Δ7d +1.7
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Cash declined to $262.3 million from $503.9 million at 2025 year-end, requiring monitoring alongside acquisitions and capital returns.
- • Facility integration, occupancy progression, reimbursement, and regulatory execution remain material sensitivities.
- • The stock has underperformed after the earnings release, while higher service, rent, and G&A expenses offset part of the operating gains.
Catalyst clock
2026-07-27
Q2 beat and FY2026 guidance increase
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
45
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-8.2
Δ21d
-10.3
Value
56
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-0.2
Sentiment
49
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+1.7
Δ21d
-12.2
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 44.7 / Value 56.4 / Sentiment 49.3
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-04. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$180.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$145.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$10.23B
Beta
0.88
Shares Out
58.28M
P/E (TTM)
31.6
P/S (TTM)
2.12
P/FCF (TTM)
28.55
Rev YoY
+17.3%
EPS YoY
+16.4%
Gross Margin
+14.0%
Op Margin
+8.8%
Net Debt
$1.63B
Current Ratio
1.21
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data