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ENSG

Ensign GroupB
Nasdaq / Health Care Equipment & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 results beat expectations, occupancy improved, clinical metrics remained strong, and management raised full-year guidance. Continued acquired-facility contribution and rental growth could support upside.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -11.3.
What can break
Cash declined to $262.3 million from $503.9 million at 2025 year-end, requiring monitoring alongside acquisitions and capital returns.
Momentum
27
Value
57
Sentiment
69
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $180.00 · Bull $220.00 · Bear $145.00Analysis 2026-09-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $220.00
Why
Momentum27 · Δ7d -0.6
Value57 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment69 · Δ7d -11.3
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -11.3.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Cash declined to $262.3 million from $503.9 million at 2025 year-end, requiring monitoring alongside acquisitions and capital returns.
  • • Facility integration, occupancy progression, reimbursement, and regulatory execution remain material sensitivities.
  • • The stock has underperformed after the earnings release, while higher service, rent, and G&A expenses offset part of the operating gains.

Catalyst clock

2026-07-27

Q2 beat and FY2026 guidance increase

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
27
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
-0.6
Δ21d
-33.6
Value
57
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
69
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-11.3
Δ21d
-9.2
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 27.4 / Value 56.7 / Sentiment 68.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$220.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$180.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$145.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$10.58B
Beta
0.88
Shares Out
58.28M
P/E (TTM)
31.6
P/S (TTM)
2.12
P/FCF (TTM)
28.55
Rev YoY
+17.3%
EPS YoY
+16.4%
Gross Margin
+14.0%
Op Margin
+8.8%
Net Debt
$1.63B
Current Ratio
1.21
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data