EME

EMCOR GroupD

NYSE / Capital Goods

At close

2026-06-03

Current thesis

EMCOR sustains backlog growth, successfully integrates recent acquisitions, and converts higher-margin contracts, producing earnings beats and a material re-rating toward the bull target within the 3-month horizon [#10Q-2025-09-30].

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Momentum

What changed

Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -14.9.

What can break

Persistent cost inflation, project execution issues or meaningful demand softness compress margins and revenue growth, pushing shares toward the bear target as investors de-rate the services multiple [#10Q-2025-09-30].

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $660.68 · Bull $786.53 · Bear $503.38

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-06-03

Fundamentals

As of 2026-06-02 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-06-03 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2025-12-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Investment thesis

As of 2026-06-03

Supporting evidence

What

Grade D · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $865.33

Why

Momentum64 · Δ7d -14.9

Value54 · Δ7d +0.8

Sentiment25 · Δ7d +4.0

So what

Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals

Momentum

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-14.9

Δ21d

-20.8

Value

32% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.8

Δ21d

+2.3

Sentiment

33% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+4.0

Δ21d

+14.3

Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 64.3 / Value 54.1 / Sentiment 25.1

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-06-02

Market Cap

$36.76B

Beta

1.16

Shares Out

44.77M

P/E (TTM)

26.3

P/S (TTM)

1.80

P/FCF (TTM)

26.52

Rev YoY

+16.4%

EPS YoY

+13.2%

Gross Margin

+19.4%

Op Margin

+9.4%

Net Debt

-$1.33B

Current Ratio

1.19

As of 2026-06-03 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology