EME

EMCOR GroupF

NYSE / Capital Goods

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

EMCOR sustains backlog growth, successfully integrates recent acquisitions, and converts higher-margin contracts, producing earnings beats and a material re-rating toward the bull target within the 3-month horizon [#10Q-2025-09-30].

Posture

Defensive

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-07-23.

What can break

Persistent cost inflation, project execution issues or meaningful demand softness compress margins and revenue growth, pushing shares toward the bear target as investors de-rate the services multiple [#10Q-2025-09-30].

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $660.68 · Bull $786.53 · Bear $503.38

Earnings

2026-07-23

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-14 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2025-12-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade F · Defensive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $1,000.14

Why

Momentum24 · Δ7d -2.6

Value56 · Δ7d +0.6

Sentiment34 · Δ7d +1.6

So what

Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-2.6

Δ21d

-8.4

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+0.6

Δ21d

+0.2

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+1.6

Δ21d

+4.1

Why this grade

Composite grade F. Momentum 24.4 / Value 55.6 / Sentiment 34.1

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-14

Market Cap

$34.43B

Beta

1.16

Shares Out

44.44M

P/E (TTM)

26.3

P/S (TTM)

1.80

P/FCF (TTM)

26.52

Rev YoY

+19.7%

EPS YoY

+30.0%

Gross Margin

+19.3%

Op Margin

+9.4%

Net Debt

-$637.41M

Current Ratio

1.26

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology