B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$17.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
ELPC
Companhia Paranaense de EnergiaCNYSE / Utilities
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Bull case: Q1 results and/or shareholder disclosures show stronger regulated-margin recovery, stable or higher dividends and clearer capex guidance, prompting re-rating toward higher analyst targets and stronger investor demand.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.7.
What can break
Dividend or capital-allocation disappointments at AGM
Momentum
65
Value
57
Sentiment
59
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $13.50 · Bull $17.00 · Bear $10.00Analysis 2026-04-12; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-12 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $14.72
Why
Momentum65 · Δ7d +3.7
Value57 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment59 · Δ7d -1.7
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.7.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Dividend or capital-allocation disappointments at AGM
- • FX and commodity-driven cost inflation impacting margins
- • Bear case: tariff or regulatory outcomes disappoint, operating metrics weaken or FX/cost pressures persist; market narrows multiples and ADR trades toward analyst lows.
Catalyst clock
2026-04-23
Fully-digital Annual Shareholder Meeting (proxy items, board/ dividend updates)
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
65
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+3.7
Δ21d
+44.2
Value
57
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+8.4
Sentiment
59
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.7
Δ21d
-24.4
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 65.2 / Value 57.5 / Sentiment 58.7
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-12. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$13.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$10.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-12 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$7.87B
Beta
0.89
Shares Out
742.53M
P/E (TTM)
16.6
P/S (TTM)
1.74
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-18.86
Rev YoY
+24.6%
EPS YoY
+94.2%
Gross Margin
+23.1%
Op Margin
+19.3%
Net Debt
$3.13B
Current Ratio
1.30
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data