EGY

VAALCO EnergyC

NYSE / Energy

At close

2026-06-03

Current thesis

The best bullish read is that Q1 contained real operating progress despite ugly GAAP results: Gabon wells ET-15H and ET-14H were brought online, Côte d’Ivoire restart remained on track for Q2, Kossipo advanced, and management raised full-year 2026 production and sales guidance without raising the capital budget [#8-K-2026-05-07].

Posture

Mixed

Lead driver

Sentiment

What changed

Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.9.

What can break

Balance-sheet pressure increased in Q1 as long-term debt rose to $152.0 million from $60.0 million and borrowings carry a high SOFR-based rate, which reduces room for error if operations slip [#10-Q-2026-05-11].

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $6.25 · Bull $8.50 · Bear $4.40

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-06-03

Fundamentals

As of 2026-06-02 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-06-03 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-06-03

Supporting evidence

What

Grade C · Mixed

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $9.28

Why

Momentum25 · Δ7d -37.5

Value57 · Δ7d -0.1

Sentiment64 · Δ7d +2.9

So what

Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot

Momentum

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-37.5

Δ21d

-56.8

Value

32% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.1

Δ21d

+0.3

Sentiment

33% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+2.9

Δ21d

+15.0

Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 24.8 / Value 57.4 / Sentiment 64.4

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-06-02

Market Cap

$564.04M

Beta

0.25

Shares Out

104.26M

P/E (TTM)

13.2

P/S (TTM)

0.97

P/FCF (TTM) · Derived

-5.04

Rev YoY

-56.5%

EPS YoY

-89.8%

Gross Margin

+61.1%

Op Margin

+19.6%

Net Debt

-$1.89M

Current Ratio

1.05

As of 2026-06-03 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology