EGY

VAALCO EnergyC

NYSE / Energy

At close

2026-07-23

Current thesis

The operating update improves the post-Q1 setup: Baobab has restarted, Ebouri-5H delivered strong initial rates, and HE-9 exceeded predrill expectations. The Q1 release also raised full-year 2026 NRI production and sales guidance while keeping the capital budget unchanged [#SEC-8K-2026-05-07].

Posture

Mixed

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.

What can break

Baobab ramp-up, Gabon drilling and Egypt drilling may not sustain initial production rates.

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $5.75 · Bull $8.75 · Bear $3.50

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-23

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-07-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-23

Supporting evidence

What

Grade C · Mixed

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $9.54

Why

Momentum44 · Δ7d +23.9

Value53 · Δ7d -0.2

Sentiment56 · Δ7d +7.9

So what

Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+23.9

Δ21d

+13.5

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

-0.2

Δ21d

-0.3

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendImproving

Δ7d

+7.9

Δ21d

-27.4

Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 43.8 / Value 53.4 / Sentiment 55.8

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-23

Market Cap

$595.32M

Beta

0.25

Shares Out

104.26M

P/E (TTM)

13.2

P/S (TTM)

0.97

P/FCF (TTM) · Derived

-3.89

Rev YoY

-43.3%

EPS YoY

-1325.9%

Gross Margin

+13.0%

Op Margin

+19.6%

Net Debt

$87.27M

Current Ratio

0.51

As of 2026-07-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology