ECVT

EcovystB

NYSE / Materials

At close

2026-07-18

Current thesis

The post-earnings bull case is that Q1 showed real operating leverage: stronger regeneration utilization, better contractual pricing, more than 30% virgin sulfuric acid volume growth, improved operating cash flow, and a higher full-year sales/free-cash-flow outlook [#8-K-2026-05-05]. Thin but positive revision signal exists, with StockAnalysis showing Citigroup maintained Hold while lifting its target to $16 on May 6, 2026.

Posture

Constructive

Lead driver

Value

What changed

Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.6.

What can break

2026 sales outlook assumes higher sulfur prices and about $155 million of sulfur-cost pass-through versus a prior roughly $125 million assumption, leaving input-cost volatility and geopolitical sulfur-market disruption as live risks [#8-K-2026-05-05].

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $14.50 · Bull $16.50 · Bear $11.50

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-18

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-18 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-05-08 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-18

Supporting evidence

What

Grade B · Constructive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $15.75

Why

Momentum47 · Δ7d -21.2

Value59 · Δ7d -1.6

Sentiment57 · Δ7d -12.7

So what

Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-21.2

Δ21d

-12.2

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-1.6

Δ21d

-1.6

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-12.7

Δ21d

-7.2

Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 47.4 / Value 59.0 / Sentiment 57.4

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-17

Market Cap

$1.41B

Beta

1.19

Shares Out

109.45M

P/E (TTM) · Derived

-66.7

P/S (TTM)

1.51

P/FCF (TTM)

15.43

Rev YoY

+50.2%

EPS YoY

-227.0%

Gross Margin

+21.5%

Op Margin

+0.5%

Net Debt

$233.55M

Current Ratio

2.38

As of 2026-07-18 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology