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ECVT

EcovystB
NYSE / Materials
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Strong Q2 operating momentum, raised 2026 EBITDA guidance, sustained sulfuric-acid demand, and potential Calabrian synergies support a constructive medium-term case.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.4.
What can break
Analyst target count, estimate revisions, and post-earnings market reaction are unavailable.
Momentum
9
Value
62
Sentiment
77
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $12.50 · Bull $15.50 · Bear $8.50Analysis 2026-08-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $15.17
Why
Momentum9 · Δ7d +2.0
Value62 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment77 · Δ7d +7.4
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.4.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Analyst target count, estimate revisions, and post-earnings market reaction are unavailable.
  • • Calabrian integration and synergy realization remain execution risks.
  • • Second-half turnarounds, lower virgin-acid volumes, possible sulfur-price moderation and customer destocking could pressure margins or volumes; analyst revisions and post-print target changes are unavailable.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-15

Post-earnings outlook digestion

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
9
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.0
Δ21d
-0.4
Value
62
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
-2.4
Sentiment
77
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.4
Δ21d
+4.8
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 9.0 / Value 61.9 / Sentiment 77.4

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-09. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$15.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$12.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$8.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$1.14B
Beta
1.19
Shares Out
109.47M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-53.8
P/S (TTM)
1.51
P/FCF (TTM)
15.43
Rev YoY
+42.0%
EPS YoY
+38.1%
Gross Margin
+20.3%
Op Margin
+12.1%
Net Debt
$233.55M
Current Ratio
1.70
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data