EC

EcopetrolB

NYSE / Energy

At close

2026-07-20

Current thesis

Bull case assumes sustained commodity strength, successful asset sales, and stronger-than-expected operational execution leading to re-rating toward higher global peer multiples; catalysts include improved cash generation and higher dividend visibility.

Posture

Constructive

Lead driver

Momentum

What changed

Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +12.7.

What can break

Adverse Colombian fiscal, royalty, or regulatory changes that constrain payouts

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $11.04 · Bull $15.06 · Bear $8.79

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-20

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-20 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-01-21 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-20

Supporting evidence

What

Grade B · Constructive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $15.37

Why

Momentum85 · Δ7d +12.7

Value55 · Δ7d -1.3

Sentiment35 · Δ7d -3.9

So what

Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendFlat

Δ7d

+12.7

Δ21d

-17.4

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-1.3

Δ21d

-1.4

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-3.9

Δ21d

-7.7

Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 85.0 / Value 55.1 / Sentiment 34.9

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-20

Market Cap

$33.2B

Beta

0.78

Shares Out

2.06B

P/E (TTM)

7.3

P/S (TTM)

0.65

P/FCF (TTM)

40.21

Rev YoY

-0.9%

EPS YoY

+4.7%

Gross Margin

+30.7%

Op Margin

+24.8%

Net Debt

$25.59B

Current Ratio

1.26

As of 2026-07-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology