EC

EcopetrolB

NYSE / Energy

At close

2026-07-22

Current thesis

Bull case assumes sustained commodity strength, successful asset sales, and stronger-than-expected operational execution leading to re-rating toward higher global peer multiples; catalysts include improved cash generation and higher dividend visibility.

Posture

Constructive

Lead driver

Momentum

What changed

Momentum remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -14.2.

What can break

Adverse Colombian fiscal, royalty, or regulatory changes that constrain payouts

Momentum

Value

Sentiment

Setup hits (3d)

0 · Net Neutral

AI TargetsBase $11.04 · Bull $15.06 · Bear $8.79

Data freshness

Prices

As of 2026-07-22

Fundamentals

As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1

Scores

As of 2026-07-22 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP

AI Memo

As of 2026-01-21 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI

Investment thesis

As of 2026-07-22

Supporting evidence

What

Grade B · Constructive

Confidence Medium · Net Neutral

Target $15.62

Why

Momentum85 · Δ7d -14.2

Value55 · Δ7d -1.4

Sentiment35 · Δ7d -1.8

So what

Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Lead driver: Momentum · See technicals

Momentum

26% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-14.2

Δ21d

-10.8

Value

39% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-1.4

Δ21d

-1.7

Sentiment

34% active weight

Current posture

7d trendSoftening

Δ7d

-1.8

Δ21d

-12.9

Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 85.1 / Value 55.1 / Sentiment 34.6

Fundamentals (TTM)

As of 2026-07-21

Market Cap

$34.23B

Beta

0.78

Shares Out

2.06B

P/E (TTM)

7.3

P/S (TTM)

0.65

P/FCF (TTM)

40.21

Rev YoY

-0.9%

EPS YoY

+4.7%

Gross Margin

+30.7%

Op Margin

+24.8%

Net Debt

$25.59B

Current Ratio

1.26

As of 2026-07-22 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology