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DWSN

Dawson GeophysicalA
Nasdaq / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Successful high-density work and conversion of Canadian bids could extend the Q2 fee-revenue and adjusted-EBITDA improvement [#SEC-8K-2026-08-13]. The Q3 outcome is not yet confirmed.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Canadian bid activity may not convert into awarded work or sustained crew utilization [#SEC-8K-2026-08-13].
Momentum
94
Value
51
Sentiment
57
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $1.62 · Bull $2.15 · Bear $1.25Analysis 2026-11-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-11-05 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-11-05 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-11-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-11-05

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-11-05. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum94 · Δ7d -
Value51 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment57 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Canadian bid activity may not convert into awarded work or sustained crew utilization [#SEC-8K-2026-08-13].
  • • High-density job success, customer demand and margins remain unproven [#SEC-8K-2026-08-13].
  • • Q2's $3.4 million net loss, strategic-transaction costs, working-capital deficit and uncertain job conversion leave the improvement vulnerable [#SEC-8K-2026-08-13].

Catalyst clock

2026-11-20

Q3 disclosure and high-density job outcome

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
94
18% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
51
43% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
+1.5
Sentiment
57
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade

Composite grade A. Momentum 93.8 / Value 51.1 / Sentiment 57.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-11-03. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$2.15
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-11-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$1.62
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-11-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$1.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-11-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-11-05
Market Cap
$49.07M
Beta
-0.03
Shares Out
31.06M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-25.2
P/S (TTM)
0.85
P/FCF (TTM)
1332.78
Rev YoY
+81.8%
EPS YoY
+46.2%
Gross Margin
+15.4%
Op Margin
+7.4%
Net Debt
$15.39M
Current Ratio
0.87
As of 2026-11-05 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data