B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$157.50
+30.1% vs current
DUK
Duke EnergyCNYSE / Utilities
Last Price
At close
2026-06-02
AI scenario view
RankAlpha Sentiment AIMost likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$134.41
+11.0% vs current
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$115.00
-5.0% vs current
AI sentiment snapshot
Latest data as of 2026-02-13
Recent news sentiment (30D)
-13.7
Negative
Company
+35.0
Positive
Macro
-13.8
Negative
Pulse
-
Unavailable
Sentiment proxy
+60.6
Score
AI commentary
Market tone is cautiously constructive: the analyst 12‑month median (base_target = 134.41) sits modestly above the anchor (125.045), supporting a buy recommendation but indicating limited near-term upside to the base case [#SERP-1][#SERP-5]. Primary downside sensitivity remains regulatory outcomes and interest-rate/credit pressure; coverage emphasizes dividend stability and EPS guidance as the main supportive themes.
RankAlpha Sentiment AI - 2026-02-13
Open full AI memoEvidence flagged
No evidence quality warning is currently attached to this memo.
Impact
standard
Confidence
-
AI events
2026-05-14catalystQ1 2026 earnings release / 2026 guidance updateMedium impact
Quarterly results and management 2026 guidance (EPS range) likely to move sentiment; analysts note 2026 EPS guidance of $6.55–$6.80 which frames near-term expectations [#SERP-5]. Expected date is conservatively set to the end of the next earnings window; actual date may be earlier.
2026-06-30eventRegulatory rate-case outcomes and IR decisionsHigh impact
Material rate-case decisions or regulatory approvals (state PSC rulings) could shift allowed returns or recovery timing; timing is uncertain so end-of-window date is assumed for planning [#SERP-1].
2027-02-13catalystExecution of capex/clean-energy transition planHigh impact
Multi-year capital program and renewables transition underpin long-term earnings growth; analyst models and targets incorporate multi-year execution and regulatory recovery assumptions [#SERP-4], [#SERP-6].
Recommendation
N/A
No formal recommendation provided.
As of 2026-02-13 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology