B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$157.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
DUK
Duke EnergyCNYSE / Utilities
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Bull case: constructive regulatory rulings, on‑time capex execution, and sustained EPS guidance that re-rate the stock toward analyst highs (157.5). Dividend stability and regulated cash flows reinforce the re-rating in this scenario.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.1.
What can break
Adverse state regulatory rate-case rulings
Momentum
48
Value
51
Sentiment
60
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $134.41 · Bull $157.50 · Bear $115.00Analysis 2026-02-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-10
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $137.65
Why
Momentum48 · Δ7d +24.1
Value51 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment60 · Δ7d +3.1
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +3.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adverse state regulatory rate-case rulings
- • Higher-for-longer interest rates raising financing costs
- • Bear case: adverse rate-case rulings, prolonged higher financing costs, or major project delays that erode EPS and force multiple compression toward analyst lows (115.0).
Catalyst clock
2026-05-14
Q1 2026 earnings release / 2026 guidance update
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
48
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+24.1
Δ21d
+4.9
Value
51
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
-2.1
Sentiment
60
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.1
Δ21d
+2.0
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 47.9 / Value 51.4 / Sentiment 60.5
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-13. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$134.41
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$115.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$96.36B
Beta
0.50
Shares Out
779.7M
P/E (TTM)
18.4
P/S (TTM)
2.87
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-12.60
Rev YoY
+1.1%
EPS YoY
+10.6%
Gross Margin
+31.4%
Op Margin
+26.6%
Net Debt
$90.78B
Current Ratio
0.66
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data