B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$157.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
DUK
Duke EnergyCNYSE / Utilities
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Bull case: constructive regulatory rulings, on‑time capex execution, and sustained EPS guidance that re-rate the stock toward analyst highs (157.5). Dividend stability and regulated cash flows reinforce the re-rating in this scenario.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
What can break
Adverse state regulatory rate-case rulings
Momentum
58
Value
52
Sentiment
58
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $134.41 · Bull $157.50 · Bear $115.00Analysis 2026-02-13; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-13 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-26
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $131.78
Why
Momentum58 · Δ7d +5.1
Value52 · Δ7d -0.3
Sentiment58 · Δ7d -5.8
So what
Balanced signals (Net Bullish). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-25.
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -5.8.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adverse state regulatory rate-case rulings
- • Higher-for-longer interest rates raising financing costs
- • Bear case: adverse rate-case rulings, prolonged higher financing costs, or major project delays that erode EPS and force multiple compression toward analyst lows (115.0).
Catalyst clock
2026-05-14
Q1 2026 earnings release / 2026 guidance update
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
58
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+5.1
Δ21d
+13.0
Value
52
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.3
Δ21d
-0.7
Sentiment
58
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-5.8
Δ21d
-23.0
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 58.2 / Value 51.6 / Sentiment 58.0
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-13. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$134.41
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$115.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-13 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$97.45B
Beta
0.50
Shares Out
779.7M
P/E (TTM)
18.4
P/S (TTM)
2.87
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-12.75
Rev YoY
+1.1%
EPS YoY
+10.6%
Gross Margin
+31.4%
Op Margin
+26.6%
Net Debt
$90.78B
Current Ratio
0.66
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data