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DT

DynatraceD
NYSE / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull: stronger subscription growth, improved retention, and successful large-account renewals/cross-sell accelerate ARR and drive a re-rating above the anchor.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
What can break
ARR growth slower than expected
Momentum
76
Value
53
Sentiment
28
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $36.18 · Bull $47.03 · Bear $28.94Analysis 2026-02-10; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-10 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-10 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-10

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-10. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $59.59
Why
Momentum76 · Δ7d -11.3
Value53 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment28 · Δ7d +2.5
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-09.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.5.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • ARR growth slower than expected
  • • Customer concentration and renewal timing risk
  • • Bear: weak IT spend or renewal/pricing pressure slows ARR and compresses margins, pushing shares below the anchor toward the bear target.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-11

Quarterly earnings (estimate)

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
76
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-11.3
Δ21d
-7.1
Value
53
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+0.7
Sentiment
28
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.5
Δ21d
-1.2
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 76.5 / Value 52.9 / Sentiment 28.3

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-10. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$47.03
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$36.18
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$28.94
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-10 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$13.76B
Beta
0.84
Shares Out
289M
P/E (TTM)
25.6
P/S (TTM)
6.94
P/FCF (TTM)
27.18
Rev YoY
+16.2%
EPS YoY
-20.9%
Gross Margin
+81.4%
Op Margin
+13.0%
Net Debt
-$1.01B
Current Ratio
1.12
As of 2026-09-10 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data