B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$13.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
DSP
ViantCNasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Primary sources support a real operating-momentum base: Q4 revenue rose 22% year over year, contribution ex-TAC rose 19%, adjusted EBITDA rose 45%, CTV reached 46% of spend, and management guided to another growth year while reaffirming Q1 2026 guidance after announcing TVision [#IR-2026-03-11] [#8-K-2026-04-15].
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.9.
What can break
Ad-tech competition from larger platforms and DSP peers pressures pricing or customer retention.
Momentum
49
Value
69
Sentiment
48
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $11.40 · Bull $13.50 · Bear $8.20Analysis 2026-04-15; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-15 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $19.50
Why
Momentum49 · Δ7d +8.5
Value69 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment48 · Δ7d -1.9
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -1.9.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Ad-tech competition from larger platforms and DSP peers pressures pricing or customer retention.
- • Q1 2026 results miss reaffirmed guidance, challenging the recent margin and growth narrative.
- • Forward visibility is still limited.
Catalyst clock
2026-05-11
Q1 2026 results versus reaffirmed guidance
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
49
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+8.5
Δ21d
-9.4
Value
69
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+10.3
Sentiment
48
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-1.9
Δ21d
-2.6
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 48.8 / Value 68.5 / Sentiment 48.2
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-04-15. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$11.40
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$8.20
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-04-15 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$839.04M
Beta
1.03
Shares Out
66.54M
P/E (TTM)
215.1
P/S (TTM)
2.30
P/FCF (TTM)
40.64
Rev YoY
+33.9%
EPS YoY
-138.6%
Gross Margin
+76.5%
Op Margin
+36.5%
Net Debt
-$169.4M
Current Ratio
2.34
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data