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DRVN

Driven BrandsB
Nasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Revenue growth, positive same-store sales across segments, durable Take 5 momentum, strong liquidity, and leverage moving toward 3x provide a credible recovery path. The packet's median analyst target of $16.61 is above the $12.94 anchor, but target count and post-print revisions are unavailable.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-11.
What can break
Adjusted EBITDA declined year over year and included material restatement-related costs.
Momentum
19
Value
61
Sentiment
76
Setup hits (3d)
1 · Net Bearish
AI TargetsBase $13.50 · Bull $16.61 · Bear $10.50Analysis 2026-08-16; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-11 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-11

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-11. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bearish
Target $16.28
Why
Momentum19 · Δ7d +3.8
Value61 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment76 · Δ7d +11.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bearish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 1 setup hits (3d) with net bearish as of 2026-09-11.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +11.7.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Adjusted EBITDA declined year over year and included material restatement-related costs.
  • • Execution risk remains around Take 5 expansion, sustained same-store sales, cash generation, and deleveraging.
  • • The Q2 EBITDA decline, restatement-related costs, cautious consumer backdrop, and unresolved need to demonstrate normalized earnings quality limit conviction.

Catalyst clock

2026-08-06

Q2 results reaffirm operational resilience and FY2026 outlook

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
19
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+3.8
Δ21d
+0.7
Value
61
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+2.8
Sentiment
76
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+11.7
Δ21d
+10.5
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 19.3 / Value 61.1 / Sentiment 76.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-16. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$16.61
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$13.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.1B
Beta
1.04
Shares Out
164.98M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
20.1
P/S (TTM)
1.14
P/FCF (TTM)
79.21
Rev YoY
+6.8%
EPS YoY
+152.1%
Gross Margin
+39.9%
Op Margin
+14.5%
Net Debt
$2.54B
Current Ratio
1.47
As of 2026-09-11 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data