RankAlpha logo
Back to Rankings

DRVN

Driven BrandsC
Nasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
View Chart
Current thesis
Take 5 growth, positive consolidated same-store sales, improving leverage and the repurchase authorization could support a re-rating if cash generation and margins strengthen. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06] [#8-K-2026-09-15]
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.
What can break
Adjusted EBITDA fell 7% in Q2 despite 7% revenue growth, and the reported measure included $11.8 million of restatement-related costs. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
Momentum
31
Value
61
Sentiment
52
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $11.25 · Bull $15.50 · Bear $8.00Analysis 2026-10-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $16.09
Why
Momentum31 · Δ7d -4.4
Value61 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment52 · Δ7d +2.6
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Adjusted EBITDA fell 7% in Q2 despite 7% revenue growth, and the reported measure included $11.8 million of restatement-related costs. [#SEC-8K-2026-08-06]
  • • Management cited pressure on lower-income consumers and approached the second half cautiously. [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-13]
  • • Q2 adjusted EBITDA declined despite revenue growth, Take 5 same-store sales slowed from 4.5% in Q1 to 3.6% in Q2, and management described a pressured consumer environment.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-15

Updated capital allocation priorities

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
31
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-4.4
Δ21d
-17.1
Value
61
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
+0.0
Sentiment
52
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+2.6
Δ21d
-9.1
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 30.7 / Value 61.3 / Sentiment 51.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-02. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$15.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
45%
Probability
Target price
$11.25
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$8.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$1.94B
Beta
1.04
Shares Out
164.98M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
18.5
P/S (TTM)
1.14
P/FCF (TTM)
79.21
Rev YoY
+6.8%
EPS YoY
+152.1%
Gross Margin
+39.9%
Op Margin
+14.5%
Net Debt
$2.54B
Current Ratio
1.47
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data