B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$16.61
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
DRVN
Driven BrandsBNasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Revenue growth, positive same-store sales across segments, durable Take 5 momentum, strong liquidity, and leverage moving toward 3x provide a credible recovery path. The packet's median analyst target of $16.61 is above the $12.94 anchor, but target count and post-print revisions are unavailable.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.2.
What can break
Adjusted EBITDA declined year over year and included material restatement-related costs.
Momentum
18
Value
61
Sentiment
72
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $13.50 · Bull $16.61 · Bear $10.50Analysis 2026-08-16; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-16 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $16.61
Why
Momentum18 · Δ7d +1.5
Value61 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment72 · Δ7d +2.2
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +2.2.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adjusted EBITDA declined year over year and included material restatement-related costs.
- • Execution risk remains around Take 5 expansion, sustained same-store sales, cash generation, and deleveraging.
- • The Q2 EBITDA decline, restatement-related costs, cautious consumer backdrop, and unresolved need to demonstrate normalized earnings quality limit conviction.
Catalyst clock
2026-08-06
Q2 results reaffirm operational resilience and FY2026 outlook
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
18
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.5
Δ21d
+2.3
Value
61
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+2.8
Sentiment
72
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.2
Δ21d
-1.3
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 17.6 / Value 61.1 / Sentiment 71.8
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-16. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$13.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$10.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-16 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$2.1B
Beta
1.04
Shares Out
164.98M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
20.1
P/S (TTM)
1.14
P/FCF (TTM)
79.21
Rev YoY
+6.8%
EPS YoY
+152.1%
Gross Margin
+39.9%
Op Margin
+14.5%
Net Debt
$2.54B
Current Ratio
1.47
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data