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DRI

Darden RestaurantsD
NYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q1 sales rose 5.1% to $3.2 billion, all segments posted positive same-restaurant sales, and LongHorn's comparable-calendar sales rose 6.8%. Management said traffic improved into September; successful Olive Garden lunch initiatives could broaden growth beyond LongHorn.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.
What can break
A fiscal-calendar shift is expected to reduce Q2 sales by about 1%, with an offsetting Q3 benefit; unadjusted quarterly comparisons could mislead. Darden Q1 transcript
Momentum
59
Value
48
Sentiment
49
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $202.00 · Bull $225.00 · Bear $170.00Analysis 2026-09-29; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-29 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $235.96
Why
Momentum59 · Δ7d -0.0
Value48 · Δ7d +0.1
Sentiment49 · Δ7d +2.2
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.1.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • A fiscal-calendar shift is expected to reduce Q2 sales by about 1%, with an offsetting Q3 benefit; unadjusted quarterly comparisons could mislead. Darden Q1 transcript
  • • Bahama Breeze wind-down costs and Olive Garden's lighter-portion investment weighed on segment margins; new-store growth adds execution and pre-opening-cost risk. Darden Q1 transcript
  • • Olive Garden grew comparable-calendar sales only 1.0%; its lighter-portion menu reduced check mix, while consolidated restaurant-level EBITDA margin was flat at 18.8%.

Catalyst clock

2026-12-18

Fiscal Q2 results on December 18

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
59
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-11.2
Value
48
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.1
Δ21d
-0.8
Sentiment
49
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+2.2
Δ21d
-13.2
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 58.8 / Value 48.3 / Sentiment 49.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-29. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$225.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$202.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$170.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-29 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$24.03B
Beta
0.63
Shares Out
113.14M
P/E (TTM)
20.2
P/S (TTM)
1.76
P/FCF (TTM)
76.49
Rev YoY
+13.7%
EPS YoY
+36.4%
Gross Margin
+17.4%
Op Margin
+12.2%
Net Debt
$7.78B
Current Ratio
0.31
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data