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DRI

Darden RestaurantsB
NYSE / Consumer Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Bull case assumes continued menu-price momentum, stable traffic, successful buybacks, and operating leverage that pushes multiples toward the high analyst range; under this path shares approach the analyst high.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.9.
What can break
Adverse capital allocation surprises
Momentum
73
Value
49
Sentiment
70
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $222.38 · Bull $274.05 · Bear $159.69Analysis 2026-02-06; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-02-06 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $234.17
Why
Momentum73 · Δ7d -3.8
Value49 · Δ7d 0.0
Sentiment70 · Δ7d +7.9
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +7.9.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Adverse capital allocation surprises
  • • Disappointing same-store-sales or margin guide
  • • Bear case assumes sustained traffic erosion or a renewed inflationary shock that compresses margins and leads investors to re-rate the multiple toward lower analyst-bound levels.

Catalyst clock

2026-05-07

Next quarterly earnings report (same-store sales, margin guide)

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
73
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.8
Δ21d
+6.7
Value
49
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
0.0
Δ21d
+0.7
Sentiment
70
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+7.9
Δ21d
+5.6
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 72.8 / Value 48.7 / Sentiment 69.9

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-02-06. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$274.05
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Most likely
B
Base case
60%
Probability
Target price
$222.38
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$159.69
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-02-06 · RankAlpha Sentiment AI
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$25.6B
Beta
0.63
Shares Out
113.54M
P/E (TTM)
20.2
P/S (TTM)
1.76
P/FCF (TTM)
76.49
Rev YoY
+13.7%
EPS YoY
+36.4%
Gross Margin
+17.4%
Op Margin
+12.2%
Net Debt
$7.78B
Current Ratio
0.31
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data