B+
Bull case
20%
Probability
Target price
$16.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
DOLE
DoleCNYSE / Food Beverage & Tobacco
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Americas & ROW Q2 adjusted EBITDA rose 33.8%; Fresh Fruit pricing and cost savings could restore margins while Ecuador sale proceeds reduce leverage. Management maintained an approximately $400 million 2026 adjusted EBITDA target.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.
What can break
Acquisition integration and the timing of returns from Scandinavian investment remain unproven.
Momentum
57
Value
61
Sentiment
45
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $12.00 · Bull $16.50 · Bear $9.50Analysis 2026-10-07; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-07 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-23
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $17.44
Why
Momentum57 · Δ7d -2.2
Value61 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment45 · Δ7d -0.7
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.1.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Acquisition integration and the timing of returns from Scandinavian investment remain unproven.
- • Adverse weather reduced pineapple availability; Costa Rican colón strength added cost pressure. Dole Q2 release
- • Q2 group adjusted EBITDA fell 14.8% despite 2.9% revenue growth.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-30
Fresh Fruit cost recovery
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
57
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-2.2
Δ21d
-4.3
Value
61
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-0.9
Sentiment
45
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.7
Δ21d
-29.7
Why this grade
Composite grade C. Momentum 57.0 / Value 61.3 / Sentiment 45.1
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-07. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$12.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
30%
Probability
Target price
$9.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-07 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-23
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$1.27B
Beta
0.65
Shares Out
94.46M
P/E (TTM)
11.1
P/S (TTM)
0.15
P/FCF (TTM)
271.34
Rev YoY
+2.9%
EPS YoY
+161.1%
Gross Margin
+7.5%
Op Margin
+1.9%
Net Debt
$970.77M
Current Ratio
1.28
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data