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DigitalOceanD
NYSE / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q2 revenue grew 29% year over year to $281 million, AI customer ARR reached $234 million, and remaining performance obligation reached $894 million. Sustained conversion of those commitments at healthy margins could support upside [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-03 · BMO.
What can break
Capacity expansion and equipment-finance obligations could pressure cash returns if utilization or pricing disappoints [#8-K-2026-09-10].
Momentum
10
Value
50
Sentiment
50
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $100.00 · Bull $120.00 · Bear $70.00Analysis 2026-10-26; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-11-03 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-27 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-27 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-27

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-27. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $175.75
Why
Momentum10 · Δ7d -32.7
Value50 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment50 · Δ7d -8.2
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-11-03 · BMO.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Capacity expansion and equipment-finance obligations could pressure cash returns if utilization or pricing disappoints [#8-K-2026-09-10].
  • • New agent products have no disclosed paid-adoption figures; launch availability should not be mistaken for revenue traction.
  • • Large commitments and new products may convert more slowly than expected while equipment financing and capacity expansion raise execution and cash-return demands.

Catalyst clock

2026-11-03 · BMO

November 3 Q3 results test accelerating growth

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
10
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-32.7
Δ21d
-81.4
Value
50
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
+1.0
Sentiment
50
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-8.2
Δ21d
+3.9
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 10.3 / Value 50.2 / Sentiment 49.6

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-26. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$120.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$100.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$70.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-26 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-27
Market Cap
$12.51B
Beta
1.76
Shares Out
117.58M
P/E (TTM)
20.7
P/S (TTM)
5.36
P/FCF (TTM)
33.65
Rev YoY
+28.6%
EPS YoY
-24.5%
Gross Margin
+57.2%
Op Margin
+14.8%
Net Debt
$1.45B
Current Ratio
1.31
As of 2026-10-27 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data