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DigitalOceanD
NYSE / Software & Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
The official Q2 release showed 29% revenue growth, 212% AI Customer ARR growth, $894 million of RPO, record incremental ARR, and raised full-year revenue outlook to $1.170–$1.180 billion. A stored secondary earnings recap also reported revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and non-GAAP EPS above consensus [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04] [#PR-EARNINGS-2026-08-12].
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
What can break
AI customer commitments and RPO may not convert into reported revenue at the expected pace [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04].
Momentum
23
Value
49
Sentiment
52
Setup hits (3d)
2 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $120.00 · Bull $150.00 · Bear $82.00Analysis 2026-09-03; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-03 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $177.06
Why
Momentum23 · Δ7d +9.0
Value49 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment52 · Δ7d -28.2
So what
Weak posture (Net Bullish). Prioritize risk control and patience.

Confirming evidence

  • • 2 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-09-08.
  • • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -28.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • AI customer commitments and RPO may not convert into reported revenue at the expected pace [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04].
  • • Capacity additions expected in late 2027 and early 2028 could be delayed or underutilized [#SEC-8K-2026-08-04].
  • • The thesis depends on rapid conversion of AI demand, nine-figure commitments, and future data-center capacity.

Catalyst clock

2026-09-08

Goldman Sachs Communacopia + Technology Conference

Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
23
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.0
Δ21d
-15.0
Value
49
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
52
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-28.2
Δ21d
-13.7
Why this grade

Composite grade D. Momentum 22.6 / Value 49.0 / Sentiment 51.7

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-03. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$150.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
55%
Probability
Target price
$120.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$82.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-03 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$15.91B
Beta
1.76
Shares Out
117.58M
P/E (TTM)
20.7
P/S (TTM)
5.36
P/FCF (TTM)
33.65
Rev YoY
+28.6%
EPS YoY
-24.5%
Gross Margin
+57.2%
Op Margin
+14.8%
Net Debt
$1.45B
Current Ratio
1.31
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data