DNUT
Krispy KremeDNasdaq / Consumer Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-20
Current thesis
The bull case is that refranchising has moved from plan to execution, debt paydown is real, and May 7 results can start to validate a capital-light recovery path after Q4 margin improvement and positive quarterly free cash flow. [#8-K-2026-03-24] [#8-K-2026-02-26]
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +1.6.
What can break
High indebtedness remains central: the 10-K shows total long-term debt of about $977.8 million at December 28, 2025, with covenant and refinancing sensitivity still important. [#10-K-2026-03-06]
Momentum
10
Value
47
Sentiment
60
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $3.80 · Bull $4.60 · Bear $2.90
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-20
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-20 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-20 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-05-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-20
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-20
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $4.34
Why
Momentum10 · Δ7d -15.4
Value47 · Δ7d +0.2
Sentiment60 · Δ7d +1.6
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
10
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-15.4
Δ21d
-54.5
Value
47
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.2
Δ21d
-0.0
Sentiment
60
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+1.6
Δ21d
+6.2
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 10.3 / Value 47.3 / Sentiment 60.5
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-20
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-20
Market Cap
$551.68M
Beta
1.32
Shares Out
172.4M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-1.1
P/S (TTM)
0.47
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-45.26
Rev YoY
-2.2%
EPS YoY
-16.2%
Gross Margin
+14.6%
Op Margin
-31.4%
Net Debt
$1.38B
Current Ratio
0.42
As of 2026-07-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology

