DMRC
DigimarcDNasdaq / Software & Services
Last Price
At close
2026-07-20
Current thesis
Primary-source evidence improved in Q4: Digimarc reported positive non-GAAP net income and positive free cash flow, signed a first commercial Secure Gift Card order, cited rollout work with eight North American retailers, and said it expects significant ARR growth in 2026 [#8-K-2026-03-11]. The packet's median analyst target of $15.0 implies upside versus the $7.15 anchor, though target count is unavailable.
Posture
Defensive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +9.7.
What can break
A meaningful part of the forward thesis rests on pilots, channel integrations, and ecosystem adoption in gift cards, recycling, and digital trust; the 10-K explicitly frames scaled deployment in recycling as uncertain and dependent on technical, capital, and regulatory follow-through [#10-K-2026-03-11].
Momentum
2
Value
35
Sentiment
79
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $8.50 · Bull $11.00 · Bear $4.50
Data freshness
Prices
As of 2026-07-20
Fundamentals
As of 2026-07-21 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-07-20 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-04-28 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-07-20
Investment thesis
As of 2026-07-20
Supporting evidence
What
Grade D · Defensive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $11.50
Why
Momentum2 · Δ7d -0.2
Value35 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment79 · Δ7d +9.7
So what
Weak posture (Net Neutral). Prioritize risk control and patience.
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
2
26% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-62.5
Value
35
39% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
+0.1
Sentiment
79
34% active weight
Current posture
7d trendImproving
Δ7d
+9.7
Δ21d
+28.7
Why this grade
Composite grade D. Momentum 2.1 / Value 35.3 / Sentiment 78.8
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-07-21
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-07-21
Market Cap
$145.65M
Beta
1.64
Shares Out
22.41M
P/E (TTM) · Derived
-4.4
P/S (TTM)
4.33
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
-16.22
Rev YoY
-19.1%
EPS YoY
-41.9%
Gross Margin
+51.5%
Op Margin
-112.8%
Net Debt
-$7.65M
Current Ratio
1.85
As of 2026-07-20 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethodology