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DMLP

Dorchester MineralsC
Nasdaq / Energy
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Portfolio expansion, strong verified Q1 year-over-year growth, and a large declared distribution support a constructive income-and-royalty thesis. The Williston acquisition adds assets without a cash purchase price, though it uses newly issued units.
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29.
What can break
Oil and natural-gas price or demand changes could reduce royalty and net-profits-interest receipts.
Momentum
68
Value
52
Sentiment
50
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $27.00 · Bull $30.00 · Bear $21.00Analysis 2026-08-04; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-08-04 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Why
Momentum68 · Δ7d -13.6
Value52 · Δ7d -0.2
Sentiment50 · Δ7d +0.4
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.2.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Oil and natural-gas price or demand changes could reduce royalty and net-profits-interest receipts.
  • • Property operations, development timing, economic conditions, and environmental or other regulatory changes could affect cash generation.
  • • The scheduled T+3 earnings thesis cannot be fully assessed because a Q2 earnings release, consensus data, guidance, analyst revisions, and post-print market attribution were not verified.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29

Completed Williston Basin royalty acquisition [#SEC-8K-2026-08-03]

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
68
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-13.6
Δ21d
-21.9
Value
52
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.2
Δ21d
-0.8
Sentiment
50
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
+0.4
Δ21d
-14.3
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 68.0 / Value 52.2 / Sentiment 49.5

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-08-04. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$30.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$27.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$21.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-08-04 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$1.5B
Beta
0.61
Shares Out
49.09M
P/E (TTM)
20.5
P/S (TTM)
7.38
P/FCF (TTM) · Derived
42.59
Rev YoY
+73.1%
EPS YoY
+145.8%
Gross Margin
+52.8%
Op Margin
+45.5%
Net Debt
-$41.16M
Current Ratio
13.85
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data