B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$6.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
DLHC
DLHANasdaq / Commercial & Professional Services
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
DLH has completed most cost-scaling actions, sees better federal procurement visibility, and has potential upside from contract expansions, new awards, and operating leverage. Debt reduction and margin recovery could support a stronger long-term earnings profile.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Sentiment
What changed
Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
What can break
Adjusted EBITDA margin of 7.7% remains below management's 9%-10% target.
Momentum
19
Value
61
Sentiment
84
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $4.50 · Bull $6.00 · Bear $2.80Analysis 2026-09-09; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-08-17 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-09 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-09-09
Investment thesis
As of 2026-09-09
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-09-09. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade A · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $7.00
Why
Momentum19 · Δ7d -
Value61 · Δ7d -0.1
Sentiment84 · Δ7d -
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Sentiment remains the lead driver in the composite.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • Adjusted EBITDA margin of 7.7% remains below management's 9%-10% target.
- • Debt was $128.7 million and was expected to remain relatively stable through fiscal 2026.
- • Near-term revenue remains reset after the CMOP transition, profitability is below target, debt remains elevated, and procurement timing is uncertain, particularly in areas exposed to CDC and other federal budget or program changes.
Catalyst clock
2026-12-08
Government procurement awards and contract expansion
Lead driver: Sentiment · See AI snapshot
Momentum
19
9% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Value
61
28% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.1
Δ21d
-8.4
Sentiment
84
62% active weight
Current posture
7d trendTrend unavailable
Trend unavailable
Δ7d
-
Δ21d
-
Why this grade
Composite grade A. Momentum 18.7 / Value 60.8 / Sentiment 83.9
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-09. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$4.50
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$2.80
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-09 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-08-17
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-08-17
Market Cap
$65.22M
Beta
1.60
Shares Out
14.49M
P/E (TTM)
60.5
P/S (TTM)
0.24
P/FCF (TTM)
3.56
Rev YoY
-46.9%
EPS YoY
-5891.5%
Gross Margin
+11.3%
Op Margin
-0.1%
Net Debt
$144.85M
Current Ratio
0.67
As of 2026-09-09 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data