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DIS

Walt DisneyB
NYSE / Media & Entertainment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Fiscal-Q3 revenue rose 7% and segment operating income rose 21%; adjusted EPS rose from $1.61 to $2.06. Management reiterated FY2026 and FY2027 adjusted-EPS growth expectations and raised its repurchase target.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
What can break
Carriage renewals can interrupt distribution; Comcast Xfinity's NFL Network and NFL RedZone removal had not been reinstated at the filing date, while subsequent status is unconfirmed. [#REL-5556b7aa-5b0e-4276-bafa-2969f973f9e2]
Momentum
81
Value
55
Sentiment
56
Setup hits (3d)
3 · Net Bullish
AI TargetsBase $110.00 · Bull $126.00 · Bear $88.00Analysis 2026-10-02; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-26 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-26 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-02 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-26

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-26. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Bullish
Target $127.38
Why
Momentum81 · Δ7d +7.4
Value55 · Δ7d -0.0
Sentiment56 · Δ7d -3.7
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Bullish). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.

Confirming evidence

  • • 3 setup hits (3d) with net bullish as of 2026-10-26.
  • • News driver: AI companion startup Character.ai files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy, citing costs and litigation.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.0.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Carriage renewals can interrupt distribution; Comcast Xfinity's NFL Network and NFL RedZone removal had not been reinstated at the filing date, while subsequent status is unconfirmed. [#REL-5556b7aa-5b0e-4276-bafa-2969f973f9e2]
  • • Sports programming costs rose with contractual rate increases, new rights and NBA-renewal timing; sustained cost inflation could compress ESPN margins. [#REL-cfbadab9-ef40-4693-a87e-eeaf7496cb22]
  • • GAAP diluted EPS fell from $2.92 to $1.51 despite adjusted-EPS growth; nine-month free cash flow was down 24% year over year.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-31

A+E stake-sale closing decision

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
81
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+7.4
Δ21d
+14.3
Value
55
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.0
Δ21d
-1.2
Sentiment
56
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.7
Δ21d
-20.9
Why this grade

Composite grade B. Momentum 81.2 / Value 55.3 / Sentiment 56.0

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-02. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
30%
Probability
Target price
$126.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$110.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
20%
Probability
Target price
$88.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-02 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-26
Market Cap
$190.63B
Beta
1.43
Shares Out
1.73B
P/E (TTM)
16.6
P/S (TTM)
2.16
P/FCF (TTM)
22.19
Rev YoY
+7.5%
EPS YoY
-48.1%
Gross Margin
+32.2%
Op Margin
+15.4%
Net Debt
$39.73B
Current Ratio
0.65
As of 2026-10-26 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data