B+
Bull case
25%
Probability
Target price
$112.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
DIOD
DiodesBNasdaq / Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
Current thesis
Q2 revenue reached $445.5 million, up from $366.2 million a year earlier, while GAAP gross margin rose to 33.1% from 31.5%. Meeting the Q3 outlook and realizing ElevATE's forecast contribution would support operating leverage.
Posture
Constructive
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.
What can break
ElevATE's forecast revenue and accretion may not materialize on schedule; integration and ATE-demand risks are explicit in the company release. Company acquisition release
Momentum
64
Value
63
Sentiment
60
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $91.00 · Bull $112.00 · Bear $63.00Analysis 2026-10-17; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-28 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-28 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-10-17 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesisAs of 2026-10-28
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-28
Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-28. Definitions
Supporting evidence
What
Grade B · Constructive
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $142.50
Why
Momentum64 · Δ7d -27.5
Value63 · Δ7d +0.0
Sentiment60 · Δ7d -3.1
So what
Strength-led posture (Net Neutral). Favor watchlist adds and disciplined entries.
Confirming evidence
- • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta +0.0.
Contradictions & invalidation
- • ElevATE's forecast revenue and accretion may not materialize on schedule; integration and ATE-demand risks are explicit in the company release. Company acquisition release
- • Q3 revenue, margin or EPS could miss management's stated outlook [#SEC-8K-2026-08-05].
- • A miss against the $510 million revenue or 35.0% gross-margin Q3 midpoint would weaken the recovery thesis.
Catalyst clock
2026-11-05
November 5 results test the Q3 outlook
Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
64
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-27.5
Δ21d
-45.4
Value
63
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
+0.0
Δ21d
+0.7
Sentiment
60
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-3.1
Δ21d
+11.2
Why this grade
Composite grade B. Momentum 64.1 / Value 62.6 / Sentiment 59.5
Scenario snapshot
Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-10-17. Scenario method
Most likely
B
Base case
50%
Probability
Target price
$91.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
25%
Probability
Target price
$63.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-10-17 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)As of 2026-10-28
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-28
Market Cap
$4.11B
Beta
1.65
Shares Out
46.05M
P/E (TTM)
37.7
P/S (TTM)
1.69
P/FCF (TTM)
12.92
Rev YoY
+21.7%
EPS YoY
+1.2%
Gross Margin
+30.6%
Op Margin
+4.8%
Net Debt
-$286.55M
Current Ratio
3.17
As of 2026-10-28 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data