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DHI

D.R HortonC
NYSE / Consumer Durables & Apparel
Last Price
Quote time unavailable
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Current thesis
Q3 closings reached the high end of guidance, liquidity was $6.1 billion, and the larger repurchase authorization may support per-share results if executed. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-21] [#8-K-2026-09-15]
Posture
Mixed
Lead driver
Value
What changed
Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
What can break
Elevated sales incentives may compress homebuilding margins. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-21]
Momentum
43
Value
59
Sentiment
52
Setup hits (3d)
0 · Net Neutral
AI TargetsBase $145.00 · Bull $165.00 · Bear $117.00Analysis 2026-09-30; returns require an exact persisted reference.
Earnings
2026-10-29 · BMO
Data freshness
Prices
Unavailable: Price unavailable
Fundamentals
As of 2026-10-23 • Vendor: Data Vendor v1
Scores
As of 2026-10-23 • Model: HYBRID_IC_RP
AI Memo
As of 2026-09-30 • Model: RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Investment thesis
As of 2026-10-23

Grade is the composite factor band; factor scores use a 0–100 scale. Confidence describes evidence quality, not a probability of return. Score date: 2026-10-23. Definitions

Supporting evidence
What
Grade C · Mixed
Confidence Medium · Net Neutral
Target $152.07
Why
Momentum43 · Δ7d -9.8
Value59 · Δ7d -0.6
Sentiment52 · Δ7d -6.0
So what
Balanced signals (Net Neutral). Wait for confirmation before sizing up.

Confirming evidence

  • • Next scheduled catalyst: earnings 2026-10-29 · BMO.
  • • Value remains the lead driver in the composite, 7D delta -0.6.

Contradictions & invalidation

  • • Elevated sales incentives may compress homebuilding margins. [#SEC-8K-2026-07-21]
  • • Repurchase authorization is discretionary and does not offset a deterioration in operating cash flow. [#8-K-2026-09-15]
  • • Affordability pressure, elevated incentives, higher cancellations and substantial unsold inventory could keep earnings under pressure even if deliveries hold.

Catalyst clock

2026-10-29 · BMO

Fiscal 2026 results on October 29

Lead driver: Value · See fundamentals
Momentum
43
8% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-9.8
Δ21d
-12.6
Value
59
47% active weight
Current posture
7d trendFlat
Δ7d
-0.6
Δ21d
-1.1
Sentiment
52
45% active weight
Current posture
7d trendSoftening
Δ7d
-6.0
Δ21d
-17.6
Why this grade

Composite grade C. Momentum 42.9 / Value 58.8 / Sentiment 52.1

Scenario snapshot

Scenario probability is memo-authored likelihood, not forecast certainty. Targets belong to the analysis dated 2026-09-30. Scenario method

B+
Bull case
0%
Probability
Target price
$165.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Most likely
B
Base case
1%
Probability
Target price
$145.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
B-
Bear case
0%
Probability
Target price
$117.00
Analysis reference price unavailable
Analysis 2026-09-30 · RankAlpha Sentiment Codex
Fundamentals (TTM)
As of 2026-10-23
Market Cap
$41.25B
Beta
1.45
Shares Out
279.7M
P/E (TTM)
12.6
P/S (TTM)
1.25
P/FCF (TTM)
15.29
Rev YoY
+0.0%
EPS YoY
-4.8%
Gross Margin
+22.6%
Op Margin
+12.1%
Net Debt
$3B
Current Ratio
10.45
As of 2026-10-23 • Updated nightlySource: Internal modelMethods & Data